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Forensic Finance

An Introduction

Forensic finance is an emerging discipline that intersects finance and investigative practices to detect financial malfeasance. Though less familiar than forensic accounting, forensic finance utilizes econometrics, statistics, and data science to scrutinize potentially illicit activities within financial markets.

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What is Forensic Finance?

The term forensic finance is not widely used but is related to the more well-known field of forensic accounting. In contrast to forensic accounting, which often focuses on the auditing of financials, forensic finance uses knowledge of specific financial areas along with multidisciplinary methods from econometrics, statistics, and data science to investigate forms of potential malfeasance that are of a financial nature or related to finance.

 

The examined events may or may not be illegal and could be proven or disproven by the research. Forensic finance aims to uncover patterns or irregularities in financial data that may indicate fraud, market manipulation, or other unethical practices. It often supports legal cases, regulatory inquiries, or internal investigations within organizations or industries.

Trends in Forensic Finance

Forensic Areas and Words

Forensic finance encompasses a broad range of topics identified through terms related to fraud, misreporting, and conflicts of interest. Research in this area spans from corporate misreporting and greenwashing to insider trading and cryptocurrency fraud. A comprehensive survey of forensic finance literature from January 2000 to April 2023 reveals a significant increase in research activity in the early 2000s, which has since stabilized. This body of work highlights the various ways in which financial misconduct is perpetrated and detected, providing a critical overview of the field's evolution.

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Impact of Forensic Finance Research

Forensic finance research significantly influences both academic discourse and regulatory practices. Papers in this field attract a comparable number of citations and more downloads than non-forensic papers, indicating widespread interest and relevance. These studies often receive substantial media coverage and are frequently cited in SEC rules, demonstrating their impact on policy. The research not only deters fraudulent activities by exposing them but also contributes to a balanced perspective in finance, scrutinizing emerging markets and technologies. Through these efforts, forensic finance research enhances transparency and accountability in financial markets.

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Common Themes for Forensic Work

The Investigative Branch of Forensic Finance

Investigative forensic finance delves into recent or ongoing financial activities that are potentially illicit but not yet thoroughly explored. This branch of forensic finance aims to uncover new, relatively unexplored phenomena with significant real-world impact through public awareness, enforcement, and regulatory changes. The focus is often on growing markets and new financial products, which may lack developed checks and balances, making them fertile grounds for identifying misconduct​.

Common Empirical Methods and Data

Forensic finance employs empirical methods similar to those used in other corporate finance and asset pricing research. Common approaches include natural experiments, matching, and instrumental variables to address identification challenges. Researchers often utilize differences in incentives and enforcement across time and markets, with detailed data analysis revealing patterns and thresholds indicative of financial misconduct​.

What Makes for an Interesting Forensic Finance Topic?

An engaging forensic finance topic should be broad enough to interest academics and practical enough to capture the attention of market participants and the public. The topic should be new or surprising and economically significant, such as large-scale schemes impacting sizeable markets. Often, such topics arise from real-world controversies that require rigorous research to quantify their prevalence, economic magnitude, and the mechanisms involved.

Forensic Finance Theory

Forensic finance theory broadly examines how incentives drive behavior, including misconduct. It explores how economic booms often hide fraudulent activities, which are then revealed in downturns, as seen with the Bernie Madoff Ponzi scheme and the FTX crypto exchange. Some theories suggest that illegal activities might partially cause economic booms, with unethical behavior being contagious under certain market conditions.

The Importance of Specificity

Specificity is crucial in forensic finance to produce impactful research. Detailed examination of particular misconduct patterns allows for clearer identification and quantification of fraudulent activities. This specificity aids in making the research actionable and credible to both academic audiences and practitioners.

Avoiding Publication Bias

Publication bias toward surprising results is a concern in forensic finance, potentially overshadowing important non-results. Encouraging the publication of thoughtful non-results and refutations of existing research can foster a more balanced and rigorous academic discourse. This approach helps maintain the integrity and credibility of the field.

Opposition and Censoring

Forensic finance researchers may face opposition from industry participants, including legal and reputational challenges. Censoring and self-censoring are significant issues, particularly in non-democratic countries, where political pressures can limit academic freedom. Even in democratic societies, data access restrictions, and political sensitivities can impede forensic research.

Enforcement and Practical Implications

Forensic finance research has practical implications, including influencing regulatory enforcement and public awareness. Researchers must balance detailed academic analysis with clear communication to reach a broader audience, including lay readers and policymakers. Journalists with a solid understanding of finance play a crucial role in bridging the gap between complex research findings and public comprehension.

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